That’s because “probably” sounds too bubbly. It makes me think of someone who cannot swim, but has fallen off a boat, and half-drowning, exclaims “Probably, I’ll be dead in a minute”. Possibly in a less composed manner than it looks on paper though.
“Possibly” sounds too hissing. I don’t trust it, just as I don’t trust snakes. “Plausibly”, in turn, is too upscale. Which non-native speaker would use it in a conversation? “Doubtless”, on the other hand, leaves no doubt. I like to doubt. Lack of doubt smells of superficiality, while I prefer depths, except perhaps those of despair.
It might be this. Or it might be that. Or yet something else. Without doubt.
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